What are the odds of a baseball game lasting 18 innings and ending in a 1-0 score?

I attended a minor league baseball game in Augusta, GA last Sunday that ended with the home team scoring a single run in the bottom of the 18th to win 1-0. I was trying to estimate the odds of a game both lasting that long, and ending with that score. Any guesses?What are the odds of a baseball game lasting 18 innings and ending in a 1-0 score?We can sort this out empirically.



Here's information on MLB games, 1960-2009, 50 seasons' worth of games.



In that time, MLB played 101,989 games.



Of those, six went 18 innings or more and ended with a 1-0 final.



Two of those six went exactly 18 innings.



Doing the math shows that 0.006% of games went 18+ innings and ended 1-0 (or, 0.002% went exactly 18 innings and ended 1-0).



So, yeah, odds are pretty long against that sort of thing.



Check 'em out if you like: http://www.baseball-reference.com/play-i鈥?/a>What are the odds of a baseball game lasting 18 innings and ending in a 1-0 score?Very slim.What are the odds of a baseball game lasting 18 innings and ending in a 1-0 score?very slimWhat are the odds of a baseball game lasting 18 innings and ending in a 1-0 score?
Eleven four five nine.